Mets Led By Pitcher Marcus Stroman on the Road Predicted to Beat the Reds

Sun, Sep 22, 2019 | Emma Botos


Marcus Stroman on September 30, 2015
Keith Allison License

September 22, 2019 -- The Mets are predicted with a 60.11% for a road win against the Reds.

This game is a match up between the Mets's Marcus Stroman and the Reds's Trevor Bauer. Marcus Stroman is estimated to have 2.204 earned runs, 22.102 outs, and 7.126 strike outs. Trevor Bauer is estimated from the model to throw for 6.463 innings, allowing 2.755 earned runs, with 5.783 Ks.

In a hitting matchup, Jeff McNeil of the Mets will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Aristides Aquino. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Jeff McNeil is predicted to bat for 0.306 with 0.646 RBIs and 0.726 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle model, Aristides Aquino is predicted to have 0.816 RBIs and score 0.616 runs over an estimated 4.182 at-bats.

With -119 money line odds and a estimated 60.11% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Mets over the Reds. With an over/under of 8.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 57.66% over likelihood and -118 odds.

Posted at Sun, September 22, 2019 13:05:38 UTC