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Mets Hurler Steven Matz Forecasted Loser at Home Against Indians
Tue, Aug 20, 2019 | Emma Botos
Cleveland Indians pitcher Shane Bieber warms up in the bullpen at Progressive Field in 2018
Erik Drost on Flickr License
August 20, 2019 -- The Mets change of losing to the Indians is 77.55% based on our model.
Likely starting pitcher Steven Matz for the Mets will be matched up with the Indians probable starter Shane Bieber. Our model forecasts the Mets pitcher will have an outing for 6.354 innings, allowing 2.936 earned runs, with a 2.848 walks. The Indians's Shane Bieber is predicted to throw for 7.302 innings, allowing 1.443 earned runs, with 6.008 Ks.
The Mets's Pete Alonso and the Indians's Yasiel Puig will duel it out from the batter's box. Pete Alonso is forecast to bat for 0.213 with 0.525 RBIs and 0.490 runs scored. Yasiel Puig is forecast to bring in 0.877 RBIs and 0.629 runs scored, with an 0.390 OBP and 0.576 Ks.
According to the -160 ML away odds and an predicted 77.55% chance to win, the Indians are the best value for the money line. Based on the over(+100)/under(-120) odds, the 8.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.
Posted at Tue, August 20, 2019 13:04:08 UTC