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Mets Hurler Steven Matz Expected Loser at Home Against Braves
Sun, Aug 25, 2019 | Emma Botos
Steven Matz on July 7, 2018
D. Benjamin Miller License
August 25, 2019 -- The Mets under perform at home with a 53.86% chance to lose against the Braves based on our model.
The hosting Mets have Steven Matz in the rotation against the Braves's pitcher Dallas Keuchel. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Steven Matz will have 2.847 earned runs, a predicted 20.779 outs, and 5.374 strike outs. Dallas Keuchel is estimated to have 2.799 earned runs, 20.901 outs, and 5.947 strike outs.
The Mets's Pete Alonso and the Braves's Adeiny Hechavarria will duel it out from the batter's box. According to our game model, Pete Alonso is estimated to bring in 0.826 RBIs and 0.821 run scored, with an 0.375 OBP and 1.249 Ks. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Adeiny Hechavarria is predicted to bat for 0.327 with 1.263 RBIs and 0.752 runs scored.
The Braves are the best value for the money line based on the +100 odds and a forecasted 53.86% win estimate. With an over/under of 8.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 68.78% over likelihood and -115 odds.
Posted at Sun, August 25, 2019 13:04:25 UTC