Mets Hurler Noah Syndergaard Forecasted Loser at Home Against Dodgers

Fri, Sep 13, 2019 | Emma Botos


When this file was uploaded to Wikimedia Commons, it was available from Flickr under the stated license. The Flickr user has since stopped distributing the file under this license. As Creative Commons licenses cannot be revoked in this manner, the file is still free to use under the terms of the license specified. See the Creative Commons FAQ on revoking licensing.
Arturo Pardavila III from Hoboken, NJ, USA License

September 13, 2019 -- The Mets change of losing to the Dodgers is 70.05% based on our model.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Mets's Noah Syndergaard and the Dodgers's Clayton Kershaw. The Mets starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.791 outs, allow 2.361 earned runs, and a 0.010 probability of a complete game. The Dodgers's Clayton Kershaw is predicted to throw for 7.324 innings, allowing 1.471 earned runs, with 7.674 Ks.

Hitters J.D. Davis from the Mets and Joc Pederson from the Dodgers will lead the offense for their teams. J.D. Davis is forecast to bat for 0.251 with 0.429 RBIs and 0.380 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Joc Pederson is predicted to bat for 0.226 with 0.634 RBIs and 0.681 run scored.

According to the -128 ML away odds and an predicted 70.05% chance to win, the Dodgers are the best value for the money line. The over/under line of 7.5 runs with -105 over odds and a predicted 52.20% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Fri, September 13, 2019 13:05:06 UTC