Fri, Sep 27, 2019 | Emma Botos
Marcus Stroman on September 30, 2015
Keith Allison License
September 27, 2019 -- The Snoozle Sports MLB prediction model estimates the Mets to take the home win over the Braves with a 63.06% estimate of being correct.
On the mound for the Mets will be Marcus Stroman paired against Dallas Keuchel. Our model forecasts the Mets pitcher will have an outing for 6.727 innings, allowing 2.314 earned runs, with a 2.873 walks. The Snoozle model estimates the Braves pitcher will have an outing for 6.239 innings, allowing 3.159 earned runs, with 3.198 walks.
Pete Alonso, Mets's top hitter, will slug it out against Francisco Cervelli in today's game. The Mets's Pete Alonso is estimated to score 0.820 runs, 0.947 RBIs and have a 0.366 OBP. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Francisco Cervelli is predicted to bat for 0.264 with 0.489 RBIs and 0.511 run scored.
Based on the -118 odds and an estimated 63.06% chance to win, the Mets are the best value for the money line. With an over/under of 8.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 65.47% over likelihood and +102 odds.
Posted at Fri, September 27, 2019 13:05:19 UTC