Mets's Starting Hurler Marcus Stroman with a Forecasted Win Over the Phillies

Sun, Sep 1, 2019 | Emma Botos


Marcus Stroman on September 30, 2015
Keith Allison License

September 1, 2019 -- According to our model, the Mets predicted to over perform on the road against the Phillies with a 58.65% chance to win.

Likely starting pitcher for the Mets, Marcus Stroman, will be paired with the hosting Phillies's pitcher Zach Eflin. Marcus Stroman is estimated to have 2.374 earned runs, 21.873 outs, and 6.887 strike outs. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Zach Eflin will have 2.842 earned runs, a predicted 20.816 outs, and 5.722 strike outs.

Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters J.D. Davis and Corey Dickerson from Mets and Phillies, respectively. J.D. Davis is forecast to bring in 0.725 RBIs and 0.685 runs scored, with an 0.374 OBP and 1.043 Ks. Corey Dickerson is forecast to bat for 0.272 with 0.766 RBIs and 0.525 runs scored.

With -115 money line odds and a estimated 58.65% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Mets over the Phillies. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 9.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Sun, September 1, 2019 13:04:25 UTC