Marlins Predicted to Fall at Home to Dodgers Despite Brian Anderson's Effort

Tue, Aug 13, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Brian Anderson and J. T. Realmuto of the Miami Marlins. Austin Wynns of the Baltimore Orioles. Camden Yards in Baltimore in 2018.
Keith Allison: Flickr, e-mail, Twitter, Instagram, website License

August 13, 2019 -- The Marlins under perform at home with a 66.93% chance to lose against the Dodgers based on our model.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Marlins's Jordan Yamamoto and the Dodgers's Clayton Kershaw. Our model forecasts the Marlins pitcher will have an outing for 6.907 innings, allowing 1.966 earned runs, with a 2.548 walks. The Dodgers's Clayton Kershaw is predicted to throw for 7.291 innings, allowing 1.514 earned runs, with 7.904 Ks.

Hitters Brian Anderson from the Marlins and Cody Bellinger from the Dodgers will lead the offense for their teams. Based on the Snoozle model, Brian Anderson is predicted to have 0.391 RBIs and score 0.402 runs over an estimated 3.921 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Cody Bellinger is predicted to bat for 0.272 with 0.703 RBIs and 0.629 runs scored.

With +230 money line odds and a forecasted 33.07% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Marlins over the Dodgers. The over/under line of 8.0 runs with -115 over odds and a predicted 70.10% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, August 13, 2019 13:06:08 UTC