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Mon, Aug 26, 2019 | Emma Botos
Sonny Gray
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License
August 26, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Marlins have a 71.39% take a home loss against the Reds.
Likely starting pitcher Pablo Lopez for the Marlins will be matched up with the Reds probable starter Sonny Gray. Our model forecasts the Marlins pitcher will have an outing for 6.770 innings, allowing 2.237 earned runs, with a 2.427 walks. The Reds starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 23.351 outs, allow 1.553 earned runs, and a 0.049 probability of a complete game.
The Marlins's Jon Berti and the Reds's Aristides Aquino will duel it out from the batter's box. According to our game model, Jon Berti is estimated to bring in 0.337 RBIs and 0.464 runs scored, with an 0.325 OBP and 0.958 Ks. The Reds's Aristides Aquino from the plate is forecast to score 0.782 runs, 1.025 RBIs and have a 0.354 OBP.
For this game the Reds are the best value on the money line bets with on the -155 away odds and a predicted 71.39% likelihood to win. The over/under line of 7.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 57.66% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Mon, August 26, 2019 13:02:53 UTC