Marlins Hurler Caleb Smith Forecasted Loser at Home Against Braves

Fri, Aug 9, 2019 | Emma Botos


Caleb Smith with the Miami Marlins at Citizens Bank Park in April 2019
Ian D'Andrea on Flickr License

August 9, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Marlins have a 51.97% take a home loss against the Braves.

Probable starting pitchers Caleb Smith and Julio Teheran duel it out for the Marlins and Braves, respectively. The Marlins starting hurler is predicted to throw for 22.651 outs, allow 1.838 earned runs, and a 0.026 probability of a complete game. Julio Teheran is estimated to have 2.109 earned runs, 22.329 outs, and 7.174 strike outs.

Jon Berti, Marlins's top hitter, will slug it out against Freddie Freeman in today's game. Based on the Snoozle model, Jon Berti is predicted to have 0.324 RBIs and score 0.551 run over an estimated 4.448 at-bats. Freddie Freeman 1B is forecast to bring in 0.531 RBIs and 0.514 runs scored, with an 0.334 OBP and 0.846 Ks.

Based on the +130 odds and an estimated 48.03% chance to win, the Marlins are the best value for the money line. With a predicted 66.46% likelihood and -110 odds at 8.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Fri, August 9, 2019 13:06:57 UTC