Mariners Predicted to Fall at Home to Athletics Despite Kyle Lewis's Effort

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Emma Botos


Manaea warms up before his 8-23-16 start against the Indians.
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September 26, 2019 -- The Mariners under perform at home with a 80.72% chance to lose against the Athletics based on our model.

Probable starting pitchers Felix Hernandez and Sean Manaea duel it out for the Mariners and Athletics, respectively. Our model forecasts the Mariners pitcher will have an outing for 6.189 innings, allowing 3.324 earned runs, with a 3.100 walks. The Snoozle model estimates the Athletics pitcher will have an outing for 7.248 innings, allowing 1.569 earned runs, with 2.443 walks.

In a hitting matchup, Kyle Lewis of the Mariners will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Matt Olson. Kyle Lewis is forecast to bat for 0.211 with 0.508 RBIs and 0.428 runs scored. According to our game model, Matt Olson is estimated to have 0.942 RBIs and score 0.822 runs over an estimated 4.315 at-bats.

According to the -232 ML away odds and an predicted 80.72% chance to win, the Athletics are the best value for the money line. Based on the over(-109)/under(-111) odds, the 9.0 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 13:03:15 UTC