Marcell Ozuna's Stick is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Cardinals Over the Underdog Pirates

Sat, Aug 10, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Joe Musgrove
Keith Allison on Flickr License

August 10, 2019 -- The Cardinals change of losing to the Pirates is 72.08% based on our model.

Probable starting pitchers Adam Wainwright and Joe Musgrove duel it out for the Cardinals and Pirates, respectively. Our model forecasts the Cardinals pitcher will have an outing for 6.201 innings, allowing 3.428 earned runs, with a 2.378 walks. Joe Musgrove is estimated to have 1.908 earned runs, 22.503 outs, and 6.775 strike outs.

The Cardinals's Marcell Ozuna and the Pirates's Jose Osuna will duel it out from the batter's box. The Cardinals's Marcell Ozuna is estimated to score 0.507 runs, 0.554 RBIs and have a 0.303 OBP. According to our game model, Jose Osuna is estimated to have 1.070 RBIs and score 0.866 runs over an estimated 4.396 at-bats.

With +130 money line odds and a estimated 72.08% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Pirates over the Pirates. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-105)/under(-115) odds, the 9.0 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Sat, August 10, 2019 13:04:21 UTC