Advertisement


Marcell Ozuna's Stick is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Cardinals Over the Underdog Brewers

Mon, Aug 19, 2019 | Emma Botos

 Tweet 

Zach Davies delivers a pitch for the Milwaukee Brewers during a 2017 game at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.
David B. King: Flickr, Blogspot License

August 19, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Cardinals have a 70.90% take a home loss against the Brewers.

Likely starting pitcher Dakota Hudson for the Cardinals will be matched up with the Brewers probable starter Zach Davies. Dakota Hudson is estimated from the model to throw for 6.038 innings, allowing 3.533 earned runs, with 7.931 K. Zach Davies is estimated to have 2.435 earned runs, 21.637 outs, and 6.965 strike outs.

Hitters Marcell Ozuna from the Cardinals and Keston Hiura from the Brewers will lead the offense for their teams. Marcell Ozuna is forecast to bat for 0.261 with 0.682 RBIs and 0.632 runs scored. The Brewers's Keston Hiura from the plate is forecast to score 0.877 runs, 1.037 RBIs and have a 0.415 OBP.

According to the +120 ML away odds and an predicted 70.90% chance to win, the Brewers are the best value for the money line. With an over/under of 9.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 64.42% over likelihood and -105 odds.

Posted at Mon, August 19, 2019 13:03:06 UTC