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Marcell Ozuna's Stick is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Favorite Cardinals Over the Reds
Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Emma Botos
Trevor Bauer
Erik Daniel Drost on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
August 30, 2019 -- The Cardinals have a 73.96% likelihood to fall to the Reds with a based on our model.
Likely starting pitcher Dakota Hudson for the Cardinals will be matched up with the Reds probable starter Trevor Bauer. The Cardinals starting hurler is predicted to throw for 19.932 outs, allow 3.520 earned runs, and a 0.002 probability of a complete game. Trevor Bauer is estimated to have 2.218 earned runs, 21.955 outs, and 6.869 strike outs.
In a hitting matchup, Marcell Ozuna of the Cardinals will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Aristides Aquino. The Cardinals's Marcell Ozuna is estimated to score 0.572 runs, 0.655 RBIs and have a 0.333 OBP. Aristides Aquino is forecast to bring in 1.497 RBIs and 1.073 runs scored, with an 0.406 OBP and 1.262 Ks.
The Reds are the best value for the money line based on the +105 odds and a forecasted 73.96% win estimate. Based on the prediction model's over 69.58% likelihood and +100 odds, the over line with 8.5 runs is the best value.
Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:03:49 UTC