LSU has a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Alabama

Tue, Nov 5, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

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2019-11-09 -- According to our model, LSU predicted to over perform on the road against Alabama with a 65.1% chance to win.

LSU is estimated to score 31.1 points on the road. Our model forecasts LSU will pass for 2.4 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions against the Alabama defense on a forecasted 28.1 competitions with 40.4 attempts for 310.6 yards. The model predicts LSU will rush on 33.8 attempts against Alabama with an estimated total of 157.3 yards and 1.1 running touchdown.

Alabama has an average of 22.8 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Alabama will pass for 2.0 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions against the LSU defense on a projected 23.9 competitions with 36.4 attempts for 337.2 passing yards. Alabama is predicted from the model to run for 0.6 touchdowns against LSU with 33.5 rush attempts for 128.3 yards.

For this game, LSU is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 65.1% probability to beat the +6.5 point spread. With a predicted 54.7% likelihood and -110 odds at 64.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 5, 2019 13:00:53 UTC