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Tue, Nov 12, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-11-16 -- According to our model, Louisville predicted to over perform on the road against North Carolina St with a 54.2% chance to win.
Based on the montecarlo model, Louisville has an average of 24.3 points for the game. Louisville is forecast to pass for 1.4 touchdowns on 28.6 pass attempts with 16.3 competitions for 227.8 yards, and a predicted 0.3 interceptions. Louisville is estimated from the model to rush for 1.4 touchdowns against North Carolina St with 41.8 rush attempts for 245.0 yards.
North Carolina St is estimated to score 22.2 points at home. Our model forecasts North Carolina St will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 0.0 interceptions against the Louisville defense on a projected 21.7 competitions with 41.9 attempts for 255.6 passing yards. The model estimates North Carolina St will run on 32.2 attempts against Louisville with an estimated total of 188.7 yards and 1.0 rushing touchdowns.
There is no best value the against the spread bets for Louisville (-3.5) at North Carolina St matchup based on our model's game predictions. With a predicted 59.3% likelihood and -110 odds at 59.0 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Tue, November 12, 2019 13:00:40 UTC