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Liberty Predicted to Fall at Home to Underdog New Mexico

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

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2019-09-28 -- Liberty under perform at home with a 51.9% chance to lose against New Mexico based on our football model.

Liberty is predicted to score 21.7 points on the home turf against New Mexico. The Snoozle football model estimates Liberty will throw 24.3 competitions on 49.9 attempts against New Mexico with an estimated 1.0 interceptions for a total of 376.6 yards and 1.8 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts Liberty will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the New Mexico defense on 30.0 attempts for a projected 111.7 yards.

New Mexico is predicted to score 22.4 points against their opponent. The Snoozle football model predicts New Mexico will throw 10.9 competitions on 37.1 attempts against Liberty with a forecasted 2.5 interceptions for a total of 190.9 yards and 1.0 touchdowns. The model predicts New Mexico will rush on 38.4 attempts against Liberty with an estimated total of 236.6 yards and 1.3 running touchdowns.

New Mexico is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 68.5% likelihood estimate to cover a +7.5 point spread. With a predicted 90.7% likelihood and -110 odds at 72.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC