Liberty on the Road Predicted to Beat UMass

Tue, Oct 29, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-02 -- According to our model, Liberty predicted to over perform on the road against UMass with a 95.7% chance to win.

On the road, Liberty is forecast to score 47.7 points against UMass. Our model forecasts Liberty will pass for 4.0 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions against the UMass defense on a forecasted 36.6 competitions with 55.3 attempts for 485.0 yards. Liberty is predicted to run for 264.8 yards on 39.8 attempts with an estimated 2.0 touchdowns.

UMass is predicted to score 11.9 points on the home turf against Liberty. UMass is expected to throw for 0.6 touchdowns with 27.8 pass attempts with 14.8 competitions for 152.7 yards, and an estimated 0.9 interceptions. UMass is forecast to rush for 139.7 yards on 27.3 attempts with an estimated 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 75.5% probability to cover a -21.5 spread, Liberty is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 70.0 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Tue, October 29, 2019 13:00:42 UTC