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Sat, Sep 14, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-09-14 -- Liberty has a 51.3% likelihood to fall to Buffalo with a based on our model.
Liberty is estimated to score 23.6 points at home. Our model forecasts Liberty will pass for 2.2 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions against the Buffalo defense on a projected 24.9 competitions with 43.8 attempts for 394.7 passing yards. Liberty is forecast to rush for 76.4 yards on 25.0 attempts with an estimated 0.5 rushing touchdowns.
Based on the montecarlo model, Buffalo has an average of 25.0 points for the game. Buffalo is forecast to pass for 0.9 touchdowns on 25.3 pass attempts with 10.5 competitions for 147.9 yards, and a predicted 2.4 interceptions. The model predicts Buffalo will rush on 58.9 attempts against Liberty with an estimated total of 353.2 yards and 1.8 running touchdowns.
According to the odds and a forecasted 52.4% chance to beat the +3.5 point spread, Liberty is the best value. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 58.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.
Posted at Sat, September 14, 2019 14:50:12 MST