Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-11-23 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, Kent State is predicted with a 84.7% to lose at home against Ball State.
Kent State has an average of 16.4 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Kent State will pass for 1.0 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions against the Ball State defense on a projected 18.3 competitions with 32.2 attempts for 208.8 passing yards. Kent State is forecast to rush for 148.1 yards on 36.1 attempts with an estimated 0.6 rushing touchdowns.
The Snoozle model forecast Ball State to score 35.7 points on the road. Our model forecasts Ball State will pass for 2.2 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions against the Kent State defense on a forecasted 21.2 competitions with 38.4 attempts for 317.1 yards. Our model forecasts Ball State will rush for 2.1 touchdown against the Kent State defense on 52.1 attempts for a projected 326.4 yards.
Based on a predicted 81.2% probability to cover a -3.5 spread, Ball State is the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 65.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 62.0% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC