Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-09-28 -- Kansas with a 55.5% forecasted chance to beat TCU on the road based on the Snoozle football model.
Kansas is estimated to score 18.5 points on the road. Our model forecasts Kansas will pass for 0.9 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions against the TCU defense on a forecasted 18.9 competitions with 32.7 attempts for 207.1 yards. Kansas is estimated from the model to rush for 1.1 touchdown against TCU with 40.0 rush attempts for 155.8 yards.
In their hometown, TCU is forecast to score 15.7 points. Our model forecasts TCU will pass for 0.6 touchdowns and 2.2 interceptions against the Kansas defense on a projected 18.9 competitions with 41.8 attempts for 163.3 passing yards. The model estimates TCU will run on 37.6 attempts against Kansas with an estimated total of 233.2 yards and 0.9 rushing touchdowns.
Based on a predicted 90.7% probability to cover a +16.5 spread, Kansas is the best value for the ATS bets. With a predicted 66.1% likelihood and -110 odds at 48.0 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC