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Josh Bell's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Pirates Over the Nationals

Tue, Aug 20, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Stephen Strasburg
Keith Allison on Flickr License

August 20, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Pirates are predicted with a 69.68% to lose at home against the Nationals.

The hosting Pirates have Chris Archer in the rotation against the Nationals's pitcher Stephen Strasburg. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Chris Archer will have 2.953 earned runs, a predicted 20.597 outs, and 6.665 strike outs. The Nationals starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.561 outs, allow 2.164 earned runs, and a 0.025 probability of a complete game.

Hitters Josh Bell from the Pirates and Anthony Rendon from the Nationals will lead the offense for their teams. The Pirates's Josh Bell is estimated to score 0.530 runs, 0.594 RBIs and have a 0.316 OBP. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Anthony Rendon is predicted to bat for 0.321 with 0.869 RBIs and 0.822 runs scored.

The Nationals are the best value for the money line based on the -150 odds and a forecasted 69.68% win estimate.

Posted at Tue, August 20, 2019 13:04:08 UTC