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Josh Bell's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Pirates Over the Phillies

Wed, Aug 28, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Vince Velasquez of the Philadelphia Phillies, July 16, 2016.
D. Benjamin Miller License

August 28, 2019 -- The Pirates predicted with a 72.56% chance to chalk up a road loss against the Phillies based on the Snoozle Sports model

Likely starting pitcher for the Pirates, Mitch Keller, will be paired with the hosting Phillies's pitcher Vince Velasquez. The Snoozle model estimates the Pirates pitcher will have an outing for 5.633 innings, allowing 4.591 earned runs, with 3.335 walks. The Phillies starting hurler is predicted to throw for 20.966 outs, allow 2.984 earned runs, and a 0.008 probability of a complete game.

Josh Bell, Pirates's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Corey Dickerson in today's game. The Pirates's Josh Bell from the plate is forecast to score 0.708 runs, 0.804 RBIs and have a 0.354 OBP. Based on the Snoozle model, Corey Dickerson is predicted to have 1.400 RBIs and score 0.951 run over an estimated 5.069 at-bats.

For this matchup Phillies are the best value on the money line bets with on the -140 home ML odds and a forecasted 72.56% chance to win. According to prediction model the 72.41% over estimate and -105 line odds for 10.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Wed, August 28, 2019 13:04:57 UTC