Jose Osuna's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Pirates Over the Reds

Fri, Sep 27, 2019 | Emma Botos


Anthony DeSclafani
Erik Drost on Flickr License

September 27, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Pirates have a 78.10% take a home loss against the Reds.

Probable starting pitchers Steven Brault and Anthony DeSclafani duel it out for the Pirates and Reds, respectively. Steven Brault is estimated from the model to throw for 6.367 innings, allowing 2.959 earned runs, with 7.138 Ks. The Snoozle model estimates the Reds pitcher will have an outing for 6.922 innings, allowing 1.686 earned runs, with 1.620 walks.

The Pirates's Jose Osuna and the Reds's Eugenio Suarez will duel it out from the batter's box. Jose Osuna is forecast to bat for 0.234 with 0.537 RBIs and 0.366 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Eugenio Suarez is predicted to bat for 0.292 with 1.008 RBIs and 0.881 run scored.

For this game the Reds are the best value on the money line bets with on the -141 away odds and a predicted 78.10% likelihood to win. With a predicted 52.50% likelihood and -109 odds at 8.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Fri, September 27, 2019 13:05:19 UTC