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Jose Osuna's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Pirates Over the Brewers
Sat, Sep 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Zach Davies delivers a pitch for the Milwaukee Brewers during a 2017 game at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.
David B. King: Flickr, Blogspot License
September 21, 2019 -- On the road, the Pirates has a 61.85% chance to lose to the Brewers from our Snoozle montecarlo model.
The Pirates have James Marvel as the probable starting pitcher against Zach Davies. The Pirates starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.640 outs, allow 3.012 earned runs, and a 0.005 probability of a complete game. The Brewers starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.305 outs, allow 2.729 earned runs, and a 0.009 probability of a complete game.
Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Jose Osuna and Ryan Braun from Pirates and Brewers, respectively. According to our game model, Jose Osuna is estimated to have 0.685 RBIs and score 0.528 runs over an estimated 4.395 at-bats. According to our game model, Ryan Braun RF is estimated to bring in 0.864 RBIs and 0.766 runs scored, with an 0.388 OBP and 1.435 Ks.
With +214 money line odds and a estimated 38.15% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Pirates over the Brewers. According to prediction model the 52.25% over estimate and -102 line odds for 9.5 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Sat, September 21, 2019 14:10:28 MST