Jorge Soler's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Royals Over the Twins

Sat, Sep 28, 2019 | Emma Botos


Glenn Sparkman of the Omaha Storm Chasers delivers a pitch at Werner Park in Omaha in 2018.
Minda Haas Kuhlmann: flickr, personal website, twitter, instagram License

September 28, 2019 -- The Royals have a 73.74% likelihood to fall to the Twins with a based on our model.

On the mound for the Royals will be Glenn Sparkman paired against Cody Stashak. The Royals starting hurler is predicted to throw for 20.570 outs, allow 3.150 earned runs, and a 0.005 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle model estimates the Twins pitcher will have an outing for 6.852 innings, allowing 2.144 earned runs, with 2.575 walks.

Jorge Soler, Royals's top hitter, will slug it out against Nelson Cruz in today's game. According to our game model, Jorge Soler RF is estimated to bring in 0.609 RBIs and 0.651 run scored, with an 0.330 OBP and 1.237 Ks. The Twins's Nelson Cruz RF from the plate is forecast to score 0.900 runs, 1.004 RBIs and have a 0.410 OBP.

For this game the Twins are the best value on the money line bets with on the -187 away odds and a predicted 73.74% likelihood to win. The over/under line of 10.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 55.81% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Sat, September 28, 2019 13:05:13 UTC