Joc Pederson's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Dodgers Over the Nationals

Mon, Oct 7, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Max Scherzer
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

October 7, 2019 -- On the road, the Dodgers has a 58.88% chance to lose to the Nationals from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

The Dodgers have Rich Hill as the probable starting pitcher against Max Scherzer. The Dodgers starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.296 outs, allow 2.638 earned runs, and a 0.008 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Max Scherzer will have 1.878 earned runs, a predicted 22.511 outs, and 6.386 strike outs.

Sluggers Joc Pederson from the Dodgers and Anthony Rendon from the Nationals will lead the their teams from the batter's box. Joc Pederson is forecast to bring in 0.491 RBIs and 0.580 runs scored, with an 0.279 OBP and 1.032 Ks. Based on the Snoozle model, Anthony Rendon is predicted to have 0.653 RBIs and score 0.728 runs over an estimated 4.124 at-bats.

The Nationals are the best value for the money line based on the -138 odds and a predicted 58.88% win estimate. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 52.22% over estimate and -104 line odds for 8.0 runs.

Posted at Mon, October 7, 2019 13:01:23 UTC