Jets has a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Patriots

Fri, Jan 1, 2021 | Rob Otto


2021-01-03 -- The Jets has an predicted 53.9% chance for a road over the Patriots.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Jets have an average of 19.2 points for the game. Our model forecasts Jets will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 0.1 interception against the Patriots defense on a forecasted 24.2 competitions with 41.5 attempts for 273.1 yards. The Jets are predicted to run for 135.2 yards on 27.0 attempts with an estimated 0.7 touchdowns.

The Patriots have an average of 16.1 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates the Patriots will throw 21.5 competitions on 32.6 attempts against the Jets with an estimated 0.1 interception for a total of 191.8 yards and 0.9 passing touchdowns. The Patriots are forecast to rush for 136.3 yards on 30.6 attempts with an estimated 0.7 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 64.4% probability to cover a +3.0 spread, the Jets are the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the prediction model's over 69.4% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 39.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Fri, January 1, 2021 13:05:18 UTC