Jaguars Forecasted Loser at Home Against Lions

Wed, Oct 14, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-10-18 -- The Jaguars under perform at home with a 61.5% chance to lose against the Lions based on our football model.

The Jaguars are predicted to score 14.9 points on the home turf against Lions. Our model forecasts the Jaguars will pass for 1.1 touchdown and 1.5 interceptions against the Lions defense on a projected 22.0 competitions with 36.6 attempts for 232.4 passing yards. The model estimates the Jaguars will run on 22.9 attempts against the Lions with an estimated total of 110.9 yards and 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

On the road, the Lions are forecast to score 20.5 points against Jaguars. The Lions are predicted from the model to throw for 233.0 yards on 32.2 attempts for 19.9 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 2.1 interception. The Lions are estimated from the model to rush for 0.9 touchdowns against Jaguars with 35.5 rush attempts for 158.7 yards.

For this game, the Lions are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 61.5% probability to beat the -3.5 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 78.8% over estimate and -110 line odds for 54.0 runs.

Posted at Wed, October 14, 2020 13:02:14 UTC