JaCoby Jones's Stick is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Tigers Over the Underdog Royals

Sat, Aug 10, 2019 | Emma Botos

 Tweet 

Cubs at Orioles 7/14/17
Keith Allison License

August 10, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Tigers are predicted with a 56.45% to lose at home against the Royals.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Tigers's Spencer Turnbull and the Royals's Mike Montgomery. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Spencer Turnbull will have 2.874 earned runs, a predicted 21.087 outs, and 6.483 strike outs. Mike Montgomery is estimated to have 2.565 earned runs, 21.775 outs, and 8.011 strike outs.

JaCoby Jones, Tigers's top hitter, will slug it out against Jorge Soler in today's game. JaCoby Jones is forecast to bat for 0.255 with 0.512 RBIs and 0.682 runs scored. According to our game model, Jorge Soler RF is estimated to have 0.861 RBIs and score 0.660 runs over an estimated 4.196 at-bats.

The Royals are the best value for the money line based on the +110 odds and a forecasted 56.45% win estimate. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-105)/under(-115) odds, the 9.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Sat, August 10, 2019 13:04:21 UTC