Iowa State Forecasted at Home to Beat Favored Iowa

Sat, Sep 14, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-14 -- Iowa State likely winner at home over Iowa with a 66.5% of being correct based on our model.

Iowa State is predicted to score 15.2 points on the home turf against Iowa. Our model forecasts Iowa State will pass for 0.7 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions against the Iowa defense on a projected 23.1 competitions with 42.4 attempts for 181.1 passing yards. The model estimates Iowa State will run on 42.7 attempts against Iowa with an estimated total of 131.0 yards and 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

On the road, Iowa is forecast to score 11.0 points against Iowa State. Iowa is predicted from the model to throw for 177.5 yards on 35.6 attempts for 18.1 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.6 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions. Iowa is predicted to run for 65.8 yards on 33.7 attempts with an estimated 0.3 touchdowns.

With an estimated 68.5% likelihood to pass a +2.5 spread, the best value is on Iowa State over Iowa against the spread. The over/under line of 44.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 78.9% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Sat, September 14, 2019 14:50:12 MST