Iowa Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat Illinois

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-23 -- Iowa has a 60.7% chance of winning at home against Illinois according to the Snoozle Sports football montecarlo model.

Iowa has an average of 20.2 points in our model for the game. Iowa is estimated from the model to throw for 280.9 yards on 41.5 attempts for 22.8 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts Iowa will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Illinois defense on 36.7 attempts for a projected 165.5 yards.

On the road, Illinois is forecast to score 15.6 points against Iowa. The Snoozle football model predicts Illinois will throw 17.4 competitions on 32.5 attempts against Iowa with a forecasted 1.2 interceptions for a total of 204.5 yards and 0.9 touchdowns. The model predicts Illinois will rush on 37.4 attempts against Iowa with an estimated total of 158.0 yards and 0.6 running touchdowns.

An estimated 77.3% likelihood to beat a +15.0 point spread, the best value is on Illinois in their matchup against Iowa. The over/under line of 46.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 53.7% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC