Indians Led By Pitcher Zach Plesac at Home Expected to Beat the Rangers

Wed, Aug 7, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Luis Urias (left) of the San Antonio Missions and Ariel Jurado of the Frisco RoughRiders during the 2017 Texas League All-Star Game
Flickr user Th3TruthPhotos License

August 7, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Francisco Lindor and Danny Santana, our model estimates the Indians have an estimated 70.02% likelihood of defeating the Rangers.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Indians's Zach Plesac and the Rangers's Ariel Jurado. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Zach Plesac will have 1.835 earned runs, a predicted 22.163 outs, and 6.818 strike outs. The Rangers's Ariel Jurado is predicted to throw for 6.327 innings, allowing 3.083 earned runs, with 4.513 Ks.

Hitters Carlos Santana from the Indians and Hunter Pence from the Rangers will lead the offense for their teams. The Indians's Carlos Santana 1B is estimated to score 0.770 runs, 0.733 RBIs and have a 0.416 OBP. According to our game model, Hunter Pence RF is estimated to have 0.635 RBIs and score 0.487 runs over an estimated 4.099 at-bats.

For this matchup Indians are the best value on the money line bets with on the -185 home ML odds and a forecasted 70.02% chance to win. With an over/under of 8.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 55.24% over likelihood and -105 odds.

Posted at Wed, August 7, 2019 13:04:18 UTC