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Indians Led By Pitcher Adam Plutko at Home Expected to Beat the Phillies

Sun, Sep 22, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Vince Velasquez of the Philadelphia Phillies, July 16, 2016.
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 22, 2019 -- The Indians are forecasted to win over the visiting Phillies based a 60.76% win prediction from the MLB model.

Probable starting pitchers Adam Plutko and Vince Velasquez duel it out for the Indians and Phillies, respectively. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Adam Plutko will have 2.343 earned runs, a predicted 21.892 outs, and 7.150 strike outs. The Phillies's Vince Velasquez is predicted to throw for 6.308 innings, allowing 3.009 earned runs, with 6.426 Ks.

The Indians's Francisco Lindor and the Phillies's Jay Bruce will duel it out from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle model, Francisco Lindor is predicted to have 0.691 RBIs and score 0.828 runs over an estimated 4.730 at-bats. According to our game model, Jay Bruce RF is estimated to have 0.741 RBIs and score 0.567 runs over an estimated 4.183 at-bats.

With -138 money line odds and a forecasted 60.76% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Indians over the Phillies. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 55.92% over estimate and -110 line odds for 10.0 runs.

Posted at Sun, September 22, 2019 13:05:38 UTC