Indiana Expected Loser at Home Against Ole Miss

Sat, Jan 2, 2021 | Consuelo Machina


2021-01-02 -- Indiana under perform at home with a 58.7% chance to lose against Ole Miss based on our football model.

At home, Indiana is forecast to score 18.9 points. Indiana is estimated from the model to throw for 310.0 yards on 41.8 attempts for 29.1 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions. The model estimates Indiana will run on 34.6 attempts against Ole Miss with an estimated total of 125.6 yards and 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, Ole Miss has an average of 22.5 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Ole Miss will throw 16.5 competitions on 30.5 attempts against Indiana with a forecasted 0.5 interceptions for a total of 205.7 yards and 1.0 touchdowns. Our model forecasts Ole Miss will rush for 1.4 touchdowns against the Indiana defense on 47.3 attempts for a projected 254.1 yards.

Ole Miss is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 76.9% likelihood estimate to cover a +9.5 point spread. With a predicted 87.8% likelihood and -110 odds at 66.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Sat, January 2, 2021 13:00:29 UTC