Illinois Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat Northwestern

Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-30 -- The Snoozle Sports football prediction model estimates Illinois to take the home win over Northwestern with a 73.9% estimate of being correct.

Illinois has an average of 19.6 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Illinois will pass for 1.2 touchdowns and 1.5 interceptions against the Northwestern defense on a projected 21.2 competitions with 38.7 attempts for 230.0 passing yards. Illinois is predicted from the model to run for 0.7 touchdowns against Northwestern with 42.0 rush attempts for 170.0 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, Northwestern has an average of 11.6 points for the game. Northwestern is predicted from the model to throw for 150.1 yards on 31.1 attempts for 14.7 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.5 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions. The model predicts Northwestern will rush on 43.5 attempts against Illinois with an estimated total of 171.5 yards and 0.6 running touchdowns.

For this game, Northwestern is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 26.1% probability to beat the +9.5 point spread. With a predicted 62.1% likelihood and -110 odds at 43.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC