Hunter Renfroe's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Padres Over the Brewers

Wed, Sep 18, 2019 | Emma Botos


James Norwood

September 18, 2019 -- The Padres has an estimated 54.11% likelihood to lose to the Brewers based on our model.

Likely starting pitcher for the Padres, Dinelson Lamet, will be paired with the hosting Brewers's pitcher Adrian Houser. The Padres's Dinelson Lamet is predicted to throw for 6.643 innings, allowing 2.496 earned runs, with 7.802 Ks. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Adrian Houser will have 2.319 earned runs, a predicted 21.761 outs, and 8.077 strike outs.

Sluggers Hunter Renfroe from the Padres and Mike Moustakas from the Brewers will lead the their teams from the batter's box. According to our game model, Hunter Renfroe is estimated to have 0.726 RBIs and score 0.541 run over an estimated 4.094 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle model, Mike Moustakas 3B is predicted to have 0.673 RBIs and score 0.633 runs over an estimated 4.263 at-bats.

For this game the Padres are the best value on the money line bets with on the +130 away odds and a predicted 45.89% likelihood to win. According to prediction model the 53.91% over estimate and +106 line odds for 8.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Wed, September 18, 2019 06:53:59 MST