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Howie Kendrick's Stick is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Favorite Nationals Over the Indians

Fri, Sep 27, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Austin Voth on July 13, 2018
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 27, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Nationals have a 52.89% take a home loss against the Indians.

On the mound for the Nationals will be Austin Voth paired against Zach Plesac. Austin Voth is estimated from the model to throw for 6.559 innings, allowing 2.527 earned runs, with 6.601 K. The Snoozle model estimates the Indians pitcher will have an outing for 6.579 innings, allowing 2.439 earned runs, with 3.095 walks.

Hitters Howie Kendrick from the Nationals and Francisco Lindor from the Indians will lead the offense for their teams. Based on the Snoozle model, Howie Kendrick is predicted to have 0.668 RBIs and score 0.617 runs over an estimated 4.356 at-bats. Francisco Lindor is forecast to bring in 0.595 RBIs and 0.686 runs scored, with an 0.326 OBP and 0.745 Ks.

According to the +113 ML away odds and an predicted 52.89% chance to win, the Indians are the best value for the money line. With a predicted 55.31% likelihood and -102 odds at 9.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Fri, September 27, 2019 13:05:19 UTC