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Sat, Dec 5, 2020 | Consuelo Machina
2020-12-05 -- Houston is predicted with a 97.7% for a road win against SMU.
Based on the montecarlo model, Houston has an average of 39.6 points for the game. Houston is forecast to pass for 2.7 touchdowns on 45.7 pass attempts with 25.5 competitions for 384.5 yards, and a predicted 1.5 interceptions. Houston is estimated from the model to rush for 1.6 touchdowns against SMU with 57.6 rush attempts for 247.1 yards.
SMU is estimated to score 12.0 points at home. SMU is estimated from the model to throw for 182.5 yards on 30.4 attempts for 11.5 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.8 touchdowns and 1.5 interceptions. SMU is forecast to rush for 64.9 yards on 28.9 attempts with an estimated 0.2 rushing touchdowns.
Houston is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 97.2% likelihood estimate to cover a -1.5 point spread. The over/under line of 68.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 70.5% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Sat, December 5, 2020 13:00:27 UTC