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Houston Forecasted to Lose at Home to UCF

Tue, Oct 29, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

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2019-11-02 -- Houston predicted with a 95.3% chance to chalk up a road loss against UCF based on the Snoozle Sports model

Based on the montecarlo model, Houston has an average of 14.2 points for the game. Houston is forecast to pass for 0.7 touchdowns on 28.3 pass attempts with 13.5 competitions for 156.0 yards, and a predicted 0.4 interceptions. Houston is predicted to run for 179.2 yards on 32.9 attempts with an estimated 0.8 touchdowns.

In their hometown, UCF is forecast to score 50.9 points. The Snoozle football model estimates UCF will throw 26.2 competitions on 46.4 attempts against Houston with an estimated 0.5 interceptions for a total of 460.9 yards and 3.5 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts UCF will rush for 2.8 touchdowns against the Houston defense on 56.8 attempts for a projected 381.1 yards.

For this game UCF are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 73.4% chance to beat a -23.0 spread. According to prediction model the 63.8% over estimate and -110 line odds for 69.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 29, 2019 13:00:42 UTC