Home South Alabama's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Underdog UL Monroe

Sat, Oct 24, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-24 -- South Alabama change of losing to UL Monroe is 90.2% based on our model.

At home, South Alabama is forecast to score 14.3 points. The Snoozle football model estimates South Alabama will throw 1.7 competitions on 35.1 attempts against UL Monroe with an estimated 3.9 interceptions for a total of 28.3 yards and 0.1 passing touchdown . Our model forecasts South Alabama will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the UL Monroe defense on 32.0 attempts for a projected 189.4 yards.

On the road, UL Monroe is forecast to score 33.8 points against South Alabama. The Snoozle football model predicts UL Monroe will throw 38.8 competitions on 63.1 attempts against South Alabama with a forecasted 1.9 interceptions for a total of 625.1 yards and 3.4 touchdowns. Our model forecasts UL Monroe will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the South Alabama defense on 38.2 attempts for a projected 54.5 yards.

UL Monroe is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 98.9% likelihood estimate to cover a +15.0 point spread. With an over/under of 56.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 52.4% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, October 24, 2020 13:01:18 UTC