Advertisement


Home Purdue's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Underdog Vanderbilt

Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

 Tweet 

2019-09-07 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, Purdue is predicted with a 65.7% to lose at home against Vanderbilt.

Purdue is estimated to score 12.5 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates Purdue will throw 22.3 competitions on 45.4 attempts against Vanderbilt with an estimated 0.5 interceptions for a total of 246.7 yards and 0.9 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts Purdue will rush for 0.4 touchdowns against the Vanderbilt defense on 26.8 attempts for a projected 166.4 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, Vanderbilt has an average of 18.1 points for the game. Our model forecasts Vanderbilt will pass for 0.3 touchdowns and 1.5 interceptions against the Purdue defense on a forecasted 16.9 competitions with 36.4 attempts for 89.4 yards. Vanderbilt is estimated from the model to rush for 1.2 touchdowns against Purdue with 45.7 rush attempts for 269.0 yards.

Based on a predicted 83.9% probability to cover a +7.5 spread, Vanderbilt is the best value for the ATS bets. With a predicted 92.1% likelihood and -110 odds at 55.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 22:00:48 MST