Home North Texas's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Underdog Mid Tennessee

Tue, Oct 15, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-19 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, North Texas is predicted with a 74.6% to lose at home against Mid Tennessee.

North Texas has an average of 20.5 points in our model for the game. North Texas is expected to throw for 1.4 touchdowns with 38.0 pass attempts with 23.8 competitions for 248.1 yards, and an estimated 0.0 interceptions. The model estimates North Texas will run on 29.7 attempts against Mid Tennessee with an estimated total of 170.9 yards and 0.9 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, Mid Tennessee has an average of 34.9 points for the game. Mid Tennessee is forecast to pass for 2.7 touchdowns on 46.3 pass attempts with 29.6 competitions for 386.8 yards, and a predicted 0.2 interceptions. Our model forecasts Mid Tennessee will rush for 1.4 touchdowns against the North Texas defense on 36.9 attempts for a projected 209.9 yards.

For this game, Mid Tennessee is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 74.6% probability to beat the +9.0 point spread. According to prediction model the 65.8% over estimate and -110 line odds for 58.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 15, 2019 17:03:34 UTC