Home Memphis's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Underdog Tulane

Tue, Oct 15, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-19 -- Memphis change of losing to Tulane is 76.9% based on our model.

At home, Memphis is forecast to score 16.9 points. Memphis is estimated from the model to throw for 196.4 yards on 27.2 attempts for 16.2 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 0.0 interceptions. Memphis is forecast to rush for 145.4 yards on 31.1 attempts with an estimated 0.8 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, Tulane has an average of 30.1 points for the game. Our model forecasts Tulane will pass for 1.3 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions against the Memphis defense on a forecasted 15.0 competitions with 28.1 attempts for 192.2 yards. The model predicts Tulane will rush on 54.1 attempts against Memphis with an estimated total of 344.0 yards and 2.1 running touchdown.

An estimated 83.8% likelihood to beat a +4.0 point spread, the best value is on Tulane in their matchup against Memphis. The over/under line of 59.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 59.9% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, October 15, 2019 17:03:34 UTC