Home Houston's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Underdog Tulane

Wed, Oct 7, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-08 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, Houston is predicted with a 82.3% to lose at home against Tulane.

In their hometown, Houston is forecast to score 26.3 points. Our model forecasts Houston will pass for 2.3 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions against the Tulane defense on a projected 25.8 competitions with 31.7 attempts for 319.6 passing yards. Houston is forecast to rush for 154.4 yards on 31.4 attempts with an estimated 1.0 rushing touchdowns.

The Snoozle model forecast Tulane to score 50.6 points on the road. Tulane is predicted from the model to throw for 540.3 yards on 44.7 attempts for 38.5 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 4.6 touchdowns and 1.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts Tulane will rush for 2.1 touchdown against the Houston defense on 44.5 attempts for a projected 256.5 yards.

An estimated 87.1% likelihood to beat a +6.5 point spread, the best value is on Tulane in their matchup against Houston. Based on the prediction model's over 96.3% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 59.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Wed, October 7, 2020 13:01:52 UTC