Home Favorite UNC's Offense is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull Over UVA

Tue, Oct 29, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-02 -- UNC has a 52.4% likelihood to fall to UVA with a based on our model.

UNC is predicted to score 18.6 points on the home turf against UVA. UNC is expected to throw for 1.1 touchdown with 34.1 pass attempts with 17.5 competitions for 208.7 yards, and an estimated 1.7 interceptions. UNC is forecast to rush for 165.3 yards on 33.6 attempts with an estimated 0.8 rushing touchdowns.

On the road, UVA is forecast to score 18.9 points against UNC. Our model forecasts UVA will pass for 1.3 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions against the UNC defense on a forecasted 26.7 competitions with 42.9 attempts for 279.4 yards. UVA is predicted to run for 149.1 yards on 31.3 attempts with an estimated 0.7 touchdowns.

UVA is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 55.6% likelihood estimate to cover a +2.5 point spread. The over/under line of 47.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 53.0% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, October 29, 2019 13:00:42 UTC