Home Favorite Texas's Offense is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull Over TCU

Sat, Oct 3, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-03 -- Texas change of losing to TCU is 73.3% based on our model.

Texas has an average of 22.6 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Texas will pass for 1.8 touchdowns and 1.5 interceptions against the TCU defense on a projected 24.5 competitions with 31.0 attempts for 286.5 passing yards. Our model forecasts Texas will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the TCU defense on 30.8 attempts for a projected 135.4 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, TCU has an average of 36.7 points for the game. TCU is predicted from the model to throw for 421.9 yards on 39.6 attempts for 34.2 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 3.2 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions. TCU is predicted to run for 191.6 yards on 39.1 attempts with an estimated 1.4 touchdowns.

TCU is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 87.1% likelihood estimate to cover a +10.0 point spread. According to prediction model the 65.6% over estimate and -110 line odds for 62.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Sat, October 3, 2020 13:00:58 UTC