Home Favorite Navy's Offense is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Tulane

Tue, Oct 22, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-26 -- Navy has a 55.8% likelihood to fall to Tulane with a based on our model.

Navy has an average of 21.2 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Navy will pass for 0.5 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions against the Tulane defense on a projected 5.1 competitions with 10.2 attempts for 85.2 passing yards. The model estimates Navy will run on 61.9 attempts against Tulane with an estimated total of 321.2 yards and 1.7 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, Tulane has an average of 24.0 points for the game. Tulane is forecast to pass for 1.1 touchdown on 27.2 pass attempts with 14.3 competitions for 190.3 yards, and a predicted 0.6 interceptions. Tulane is estimated from the model to rush for 1.5 touchdowns against Navy with 48.9 rush attempts for 254.4 yards.

For this game, Tulane is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 55.8% probability to beat the +3.5 point spread. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 55.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Tue, October 22, 2019 13:01:05 UTC