Home Favorite Memphis's Offense is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Navy

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-26 -- Memphis under perform at home with a 62.2% chance to lose against Navy based on our football model.

At home, Memphis is forecast to score 13.0 points. The Snoozle football model estimates Memphis will throw 15.6 competitions on 25.5 attempts against Navy with an estimated 0.5 interceptions for a total of 175.6 yards and 0.7 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts Memphis will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Navy defense on 41.2 attempts for a projected 131.3 yards.

Navy is estimated to score 17.7 points on the road. Navy is forecast to pass for 0.4 touchdowns on 12.3 pass attempts with 4.9 competitions for 83.9 yards, and a predicted 0.5 interceptions. The model predicts Navy will rush on 70.0 attempts against Memphis with an estimated total of 314.9 yards and 1.3 running touchdowns.

An estimated 87.3% likelihood to beat a +10.5 point spread, the best value is on Navy in their matchup against Memphis. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 91.5% over estimate and -110 line odds for 56.5 runs.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC