Home Favorite Cal's Offense is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Arizona State

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-27 -- Cal has a 75.7% likelihood to fall to Arizona State with a based on our model.

At home, Cal is forecast to score 11.8 points. Cal is estimated from the model to throw for 193.6 yards on 31.1 attempts for 16.4 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.7 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions. Cal is forecast to rush for 117.1 yards on 41.0 attempts with an estimated 0.4 rushing touchdowns.

The Snoozle model forecast Arizona State to score 22.2 points on the road. Arizona State is predicted from the model to throw for 261.0 yards on 34.3 attempts for 18.2 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.6 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions. Arizona State is predicted to run for 174.1 yards on 44.8 attempts with an estimated 0.7 touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 80.9% probability to cover a +3.5 spread, Arizona State is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the prediction model's over 66.9% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 38.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC