Home Auburn's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Underdog Oregon

Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-08-31 -- Auburn under perform at home with a 53.1% chance to lose against Oregon based on our football model.

At home, Auburn is forecast to score 17.6 points. Auburn is estimated from the model to throw for 215.2 yards on 36.9 attempts for 21.0 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdowns and 0.0 interceptions. Auburn is predicted from the model to run for 0.6 touchdowns against Oregon with 40.2 rush attempts for 154.7 yards.

The Snoozle model forecast Oregon to score 18.3 points on the road. Oregon is forecast to pass for 1.0 touchdowns on 36.5 pass attempts with 19.2 competitions for 219.1 yards, and a predicted 0.0 interceptions. Oregon is predicted to run for 165.5 yards on 40.6 attempts with an estimated 0.8 touchdowns.

An estimated 59.3% likelihood to beat a +3.0 point spread, the best value is on Oregon in their matchup against Auburn. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 83.5% over estimate and -110 line odds for 58.5 runs.

Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:06:10 MST